San Lorenzo vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
PAT
1 - 3
SLO
34%
28%
39%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SLO
4 - 3
LAN
40%
27%
34%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ALD
1 - 3
SLO
34%
29%
37%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
SLO
0 - 1
RAC
30%
25%
45%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
TAL
1 - 0
SLO
44%
28%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2020 |
CCS
1 - 2
NOB
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2020 |
NOB
0 - 2
GOD
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
RAC
1 - 1
NOB
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
NOB
4 - 0
COL
48%
27%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
LAN
1 - 1
NOB
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |