San Lorenzo vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
34.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
COL
0 - 1
SLO
49%
27%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SLO
0 - 1
TIG
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SLO
2 - 0
RIV
37%
28%
35%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
EST
1 - 1
SLO
52%
27%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
SLO
0 - 0
BEL
42%
28%
30%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
ARM
1 - 2
NOB
10%
20%
70%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
NOB
1 - 0
RIV
40%
29%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
UCH
0 - 2
NOB
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
EST
2 - 4
NOB
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
NOB
1 - 2
UCH
47%
27%
26%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |