San Lorenzo vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.9%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
8.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1942 |
CHA
0 - 2
SLO
25%
21%
54%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1942 |
SLO
3 - 0
RAC
63%
18%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1942 |
SLO
2 - 2
TIG
77%
13%
11%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1942 |
NOB
2 - 2
SLO
54%
21%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1942 |
SLO
3 - 2
GLP
76%
13%
11%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1942 |
FER
1 - 1
NOB
37%
22%
41%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1942 |
GLP
2 - 1
FER
59%
20%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1942 |
FER
0 - 0
RIV
28%
20%
51%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1942 |
LAN
2 - 1
FER
61%
18%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1942 |
FER
1 - 2
ATL
63%
18%
19%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |