Copa Libertadores Playoffs Last 16
Global 1-2
San Lorenzo vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
40.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2019 |
SLO
0 - 2
CSE
74%
18%
9%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2019 |
PAL
1 - 0
SLO
73%
18%
10%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
SLO
1 - 1
ARG
52%
27%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ARG
1 - 0
SLO
41%
29%
30%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
JUN
1 - 0
SLO
46%
28%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
CCP
3 - 0
DEP
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2019 |
ATL
0 - 3
CCP
4%
12%
85%
|
83 | 8 | 75 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 2
CCP
19%
23%
58%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 1
CCP
15%
23%
62%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
ATP
0 - 2
CCP
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |