San Lorenzo vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
ARG
2 - 1
SLO
34%
27%
39%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2008 |
SLO
3 - 0
CFC
69%
18%
14%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
SLO
3 - 1
CEN
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
TIG
1 - 5
SLO
31%
29%
40%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2008 |
CRZ
3 - 1
SLO
62%
22%
17%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
ARS
0 - 0
VEL
39%
27%
34%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
VEL
2 - 0
SMA
67%
21%
11%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
VEL
1 - 1
RAC
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
EST
1 - 0
VEL
55%
24%
22%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
VEL
0 - 2
RIV
44%
27%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |