The Town FC vs Austin FC II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
SAN
28%
24%
48%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
NOT
1 - 1
SAN
54%
22%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
POR
1 - 3
SAN
32%
23%
44%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2024 |
LAG
2 - 1
SAN
28%
23%
49%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
COR
1 - 0
SAN
50%
24%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Austin FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 1
STL
27%
24%
49%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
HOU
0 - 1
AFC
61%
23%
17%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 2
FSC
76%
15%
9%
|
48 | 9 | 39 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 3
TAC
25%
24%
51%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
COL
1 - 3
AFC
79%
14%
7%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | +2 |