San Gregorio Arrabal vs Peralta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Gregorio Arrabal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
MAE
0 - 0
SAN
34%
27%
39%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
SAN
1 - 0
LAA
50%
23%
26%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
MON
1 - 2
SAN
52%
24%
25%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
SAN
2 - 1
UFC
35%
26%
39%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
ALC
2 - 0
SAN
66%
20%
15%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Peralta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
PER
0 - 2
ACF
62%
20%
17%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
PER
1 - 3
MAE
72%
17%
12%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
LAA
1 - 0
PER
48%
24%
28%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
PER
1 - 0
MON
53%
23%
24%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
UFC
2 - 0
PER
63%
21%
17%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |