San Diego Loyal vs Tacoma Defiance analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Diego Loyal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ORS
0 - 0
SDL
32%
27%
42%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
SDL
4 - 2
LAG
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
SAC
1 - 3
SDL
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
SDL
1 - 2
ORA
47%
25%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
SDL
5 - 1
LVG
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Tacoma Defiance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
ORS
3 - 1
TAC
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
TAC
1 - 3
ARI
18%
25%
56%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
TAC
2 - 1
LVG
68%
18%
14%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ORS
3 - 1
TAC
40%
25%
36%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
ORA
0 - 3
TAC
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |