Samut Prakan vs Welfare Royal Air Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
32.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
10º
7º
21
6º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samut Prakan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
NON
1 - 2
SAM
71%
18%
10%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SAM
0 - 0
PRB
22%
21%
57%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
PHI
3 - 2
SAM
76%
17%
7%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MFC
0 - 3
SAM
68%
18%
14%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SAM
0 - 2
NBC
17%
24%
59%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Welfare Royal Air Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
BAN
5 - 3
WRA
87%
9%
4%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
WRA
0 - 3
TFC
68%
18%
15%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SSK
2 - 1
WRA
49%
21%
30%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
WRA
3 - 1
MFC
57%
21%
22%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
NON
1 - 1
WRA
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |