Samsunspor vs Sivas Belediyespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.1%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
4.5%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samsunspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 2
BOL
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
KAR
2 - 2
SAM
29%
28%
43%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
GOZ
0 - 1
SAM
23%
27%
50%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 1
TAV
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 2
SIV
32%
26%
42%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sivas Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
BEL
0 - 0
4EY
45%
27%
28%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ADI
0 - 0
4EY
40%
25%
35%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
4EY
2 - 0
BAT
50%
24%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
4EY
0 - 0
GOL
51%
25%
24%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
KUC
2 - 1
4EY
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -2 |