Sampedrense vs Ferreira de Aves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
33.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+101%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampedrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
VIS
3 - 0
SAM
29%
23%
48%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
SER
0 - 3
SAM
11%
18%
72%
|
17 | 6 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 1
MAN
67%
19%
14%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
SCP
1 - 0
SAM
42%
24%
35%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 2
LAM
65%
19%
15%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ferreira de Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FAV
3 - 2
LAM
74%
15%
11%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
FAV
1 - 1
CAS
31%
23%
46%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 0
FAV
58%
20%
21%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
FAV
3 - 2
PEN
20%
22%
58%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
FAV
1 - 2
OFR
24%
22%
54%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |