Sampdoria vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
9.8%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
COM
1 - 0
SAM
43%
31%
26%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
SAM
1 - 1
LEC
59%
25%
17%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
CAG
5 - 1
SAM
57%
25%
18%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
SAM
1 - 0
BRE
69%
21%
10%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
PIS
0 - 1
SAM
48%
28%
25%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
MOD
2 - 0
USC
59%
27%
14%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
MOD
0 - 1
CES
41%
30%
29%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
RIM
1 - 0
MOD
53%
27%
20%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
MOD
0 - 0
CAG
44%
30%
27%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
AVE
1 - 0
MOD
57%
27%
16%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |