Sampdoria vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2005 |
SAM
1 - 2
TOR
66%
21%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
INT
3 - 2
SAM
77%
16%
8%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
SAM
2 - 0
UDI
32%
27%
42%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
LEC
1 - 4
SAM
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
SAM
1 - 0
MES
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2005 |
BOL
1 - 3
INT
25%
25%
50%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
BOL
3 - 1
CHI
53%
24%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
BRE
1 - 1
BOL
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
BOL
2 - 0
REG
56%
24%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
BOL
0 - 1
JUV
21%
25%
55%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |