Sámano vs EMF Meruelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
33.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2009 |
BUE
3 - 2
SAM
57%
23%
21%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
SAM
4 - 1
RIN
59%
22%
19%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SAM
1 - 1
ATL
80%
14%
7%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 1
SAM
28%
25%
47%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
SAM
5 - 0
REO
68%
19%
13%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
EMF Meruelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2009 |
MER
3 - 0
ATL
74%
17%
9%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 1
MER
28%
25%
47%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
MER
2 - 0
REO
71%
18%
11%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
UNI
0 - 1
MER
39%
25%
36%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
PON
0 - 0
MER
61%
21%
18%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |