Salzburg vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
S04
3 - 1
RBS
56%
23%
22%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ALT
0 - 0
RBS
29%
26%
45%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 7
RBS
4%
11%
85%
|
81 | 28 | 53 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
RBS
4 - 1
AUS
48%
23%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
RBS
0 - 1
KRA
43%
24%
32%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
STR
3 - 0
WOL
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
SBW
0 - 5
STR
7%
16%
77%
|
80 | 24 | 56 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
AWM
0 - 3
STR
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
STR
1 - 1
RAP
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
STR
3 - 1
ALT
51%
24%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |