Salgueiro vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
57.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
SAL
1 - 1
CRB
12%
20%
69%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
SAM
3 - 2
SAL
74%
18%
9%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
SAL
1 - 0
TRE
42%
27%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
CON
0 - 0
SAL
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
SAL
0 - 3
COR
9%
23%
68%
|
48 | 82 | 34 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
NAU
4 - 1
ACA
88%
10%
2%
|
62 | 27 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
NAU
3 - 1
VCR
86%
11%
3%
|
62 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
SSS
0 - 1
NAU
9%
19%
72%
|
62 | 28 | 34 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
NAU
5 - 0
CEN
82%
13%
5%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
NAU
1 - 1
CSA
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |