Salgueiro vs Maranhão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
GUR
2 - 1
SAL
27%
26%
47%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
SAL
2 - 0
YAP
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
CRI
1 - 1
SAL
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
YAP
1 - 1
SAL
21%
26%
53%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
SAL
4 - 1
GUR
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Maranhão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 0
YAP
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 0
MAR
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
PAR
44%
25%
32%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
YAP
1 - 0
MAR
33%
26%
40%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
IMP
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |