Salford City vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
SAL
0 - 0
FOR
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
GRI
0 - 4
SAL
31%
27%
42%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
EVE
3 - 0
SAL
80%
16%
5%
|
57 | 87 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
SAL
2 - 2
EXE
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
SAL
0 - 6
MAN
65%
19%
17%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
SOU
1 - 2
MOR
40%
24%
36%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
MOR
0 - 7
NEW
8%
17%
76%
|
48 | 81 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
MOR
0 - 5
CAM
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
MOR
1 - 0
OLD
35%
25%
41%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
CHE
1 - 2
MOR
72%
17%
11%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +1 |