Salford City vs Lancaster City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
49.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
WAR
3 - 1
SAL
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
SAL
6 - 2
MOS
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
SAL
3 - 4
BUR
47%
23%
30%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
PAD
0 - 1
SAL
36%
23%
41%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2014 |
SAL
3 - 3
RAD
65%
19%
16%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lancaster City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
LAN
1 - 0
OSS
83%
12%
5%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
NEW
2 - 1
LAN
20%
21%
59%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -2 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
LAN
2 - 1
HAR
69%
18%
13%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
LAN
2 - 1
OSS
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
LAN
2 - 2
KEN
59%
21%
21%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |