Salford City vs Curzon Ashton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
58%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
WAK
2 - 0
SAL
14%
19%
67%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
OSS
0 - 3
SAL
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
SAL
2 - 1
LAN
28%
23%
50%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +3 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
WAR
3 - 1
SAL
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
SAL
6 - 2
MOS
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
CUR
1 - 2
FAR
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2014 |
HAR
0 - 1
CUR
17%
21%
62%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
DAR
0 - 4
CUR
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2014 |
CUR
2 - 0
CAM
70%
18%
13%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
CUR
0 - 2
OSS
68%
18%
14%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |