Sakhalin Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk vs Arsenal Tula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
73.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sakhalin Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
IRT
1 - 0
SAK
18%
25%
58%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
DIN
0 - 2
SAK
26%
28%
46%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SAK
3 - 1
FCC
58%
24%
18%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
SAK
3 - 0
FKZ
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
FKZ
0 - 1
SAK
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal Tula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
ARS
2 - 2
FCR
35%
29%
36%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
ARS
4 - 0
KRS
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CSK
1 - 2
ARS
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
YEN
0 - 0
ARS
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -3 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
ARS
0 - 1
FCR
30%
28%
42%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |