Saint-Malo vs Caen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Malo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
ROM
2 - 2
SAI
50%
26%
24%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
SAI
0 - 0
FON
54%
25%
21%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
PLA
0 - 0
SAI
32%
26%
42%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
SAI
1 - 0
GDB
48%
26%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
SAI
0 - 1
CON
53%
25%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
TRE
3 - 0
CAE
58%
22%
19%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
CAE
2 - 3
ROM
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
FON
1 - 1
CAE
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
CAE
5 - 0
PLA
38%
26%
37%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +3 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
CAE
3 - 2
LEM
42%
25%
33%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |