Saint-Étienne vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
MPL
2 - 1
ASS
34%
27%
40%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
ASS
3 - 1
GIR
24%
25%
51%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
MON
1 - 2
ASS
48%
26%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
ASS
4 - 1
NIC
50%
27%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
ASS
1 - 1
AUX
45%
27%
29%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
VAL
2 - 0
GRE
61%
23%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
NIC
3 - 2
VAL
48%
27%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
VAL
3 - 2
MAR
27%
27%
45%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
MET
2 - 0
VAL
41%
28%
32%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
SOC
2 - 5
VAL
49%
27%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |