Saint-Étienne II vs Marignane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MON
1 - 1
SAE
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SAE
3 - 1
CON
51%
23%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
BEZ
2 - 1
SAE
48%
25%
28%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SAE
1 - 2
HYE
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
PAU
3 - 1
SAE
57%
24%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 1
ALB
45%
27%
28%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
MON
2 - 1
MAR
38%
28%
34%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 1
AGD
53%
27%
21%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
GAP
2 - 1
MAR
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 1
GDB
47%
28%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |