Saint-Étienne II vs Aurillac Arpajon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
OLY
1 - 0
SAE
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
ALB
1 - 0
SAE
44%
27%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
SAE
2 - 2
AGD
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
GAZ
5 - 0
SAE
51%
26%
23%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
SAE
0 - 4
MON
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
AUR
2 - 2
ASN
10%
20%
71%
|
41 | 80 | 39 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
AUR
0 - 3
LEP
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
COL
1 - 0
AUR
58%
24%
18%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
UZE
0 - 0
AUR
39%
27%
35%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 2
PAU
35%
27%
38%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |