Sagan Tosu vs Tokyo Verdy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
YOK
1 - 3
SAG
38%
27%
34%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
FCT
1 - 0
SAG
67%
21%
12%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
TOC
2 - 1
SAG
29%
28%
44%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
SAG
0 - 0
OIT
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
GIR
0 - 1
SAG
15%
24%
61%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Tokyo Verdy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
TOK
1 - 2
EHI
59%
24%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ROA
1 - 0
TOK
35%
27%
39%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
TOK
3 - 1
MIT
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
TOK
1 - 0
EHI
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
AVI
3 - 2
TOK
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |