J1 League Round 3

Sagan Tosu vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima analysis

Sagan Tosu Sanfrecce Hiroshima
45 ELO 47
-13.7% Tilt -5.5%
733º General ELO ranking 409º
23º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
28.5%
Sagan Tosu
24.9%
Draw
46.6%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
Sagan Tosu
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
46.6%
Win probability
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sagan Tosu
-3%
+18%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima

ELO progression

Sagan Tosu
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sagan Tosu
Sagan Tosu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Mar. 2017
KAW
Kawasaki Frontale
1 - 1
Sagan Tosu
SAG
76%
15%
9%
42 51 9 0
25 Feb. 2017
SAG
Sagan Tosu
1 - 3
Kashiwa Reysol
KAR
42%
26%
32%
42 42 0 0
12 Nov. 2016
SAG
Sagan Tosu
0 - 3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
SAN
37%
26%
38%
43 44 1 -1
03 Nov. 2016
VEN
Ventforet Kofu
0 - 1
Sagan Tosu
SAG
15%
22%
64%
43 27 16 0
29 Oct. 2016
SAG
Sagan Tosu
2 - 2
Yokohama F. Marinos
YFM
35%
28%
37%
43 47 4 0

Matches

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2017
SAN
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0 - 1
Shimizu S-Pulse
SHI
14%
23%
63%
47 68 21 0
25 Feb. 2017
SAN
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1 - 1
Albirex Niigata
ALB
81%
14%
6%
47 29 18 0
19 Feb. 2017
REN
Renofa Yamaguchi
1 - 4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
SAN
73%
16%
11%
45 59 14 +2
01 Feb. 2017
SAN
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4 - 1
BG Pathum United
BAN
15%
21%
64%
45 63 18 0
24 Dec. 2016
KAA
Kashima Antlers
1 - 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
SAN
55%
23%
23%
46 48 2 -1