Safa vs Al Ahed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Safa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2016 |
SAF
2 - 0
ALA
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
SHA
3 - 1
SAF
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ALN
0 - 1
SAF
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SAF
1 - 0
ALN
47%
25%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SAF
0 - 1
ALA
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Al Ahed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ALN
2 - 0
ALA
39%
25%
36%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
ALN
0 - 0
ALA
37%
25%
37%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2016 |
ALA
1 - 2
ALA
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2016 |
ALA
4 - 0
ALW
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
SAF
2 - 0
ALA
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |