Sacachispas vs Excursionistas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
31.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+92%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sacachispas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
SAC
1 - 1
BAR
56%
23%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
SAC
1 - 1
LAM
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
SMA
1 - 1
SAC
48%
25%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2005 |
SAC
3 - 3
VSC
49%
25%
27%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2005 |
COL
0 - 0
SAC
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
EXC
4 - 3
LAM
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
EXC
0 - 1
ACA
46%
26%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2005 |
SMG
1 - 1
EXC
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2005 |
EXC
2 - 2
JJU
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
ARQ
1 - 1
EXC
24%
25%
51%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |