Sacachispas vs Def. Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
21.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sacachispas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MER
0 - 3
SAC
60%
23%
17%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SAC
1 - 2
LUJ
57%
24%
19%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -3 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
CAM
3 - 3
SAC
26%
28%
46%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 0
SAC
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
SAC
5 - 2
CAD
50%
24%
25%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
CAD
0 - 0
LAF
39%
28%
33%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
JJU
0 - 1
CAD
57%
24%
20%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
CAD
1 - 1
DOC
56%
23%
22%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
CAD
1 - 1
DOC
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
SAC
5 - 2
CAD
50%
24%
25%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -2 |