Sablé vs Change analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
7.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
6º
4º
16
9º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
91.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
3º
|
91.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 40 |
6º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
7º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
79.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 22 |
13º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sablé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LEM
1 - 4
SAB
38%
23%
39%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
SAB
3 - 1
52%
21%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ACP
0 - 3
SAB
44%
23%
33%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
FON
0 - 2
SAB
64%
20%
16%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SAB
2 - 3
ESO
22%
20%
58%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Change
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 2
ESO
10%
15%
76%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
SNA
2 - 0
CHA
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 3
SCB
36%
22%
42%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 0
CHA
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 3
USS
20%
23%
57%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |