Sabah vs Sumgayit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
81
1º
3º
2º
31
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sabah
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SFK
2 - 0
FCK
76%
17%
8%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SHA
2 - 1
SFK
20%
26%
55%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SFK
0 - 2
TUR
71%
18%
10%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
QAR
1 - 1
SFK
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
SFK
4 - 0
SEB
71%
19%
11%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SEB
0 - 1
SUM
41%
28%
32%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SUM
1 - 2
FCK
60%
24%
17%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
FKQ
2 - 1
SUM
63%
23%
14%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SUM
1 - 0
SHA
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
FKN
2 - 0
SUM
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |