1. FC Saarbrücken vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.5%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
75.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
AST
1 - 0
SAA
15%
20%
66%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
SAA
1 - 1
F95
10%
15%
75%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
SAA
4 - 0
BAL
79%
14%
7%
|
57 | 28 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
FSV
0 - 1
SAA
13%
19%
68%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
NIE
1 - 1
SAA
12%
14%
75%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2020 |
LEV
2 - 4
BYM
11%
15%
73%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2020 |
SCF
0 - 1
LEV
15%
20%
65%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2020 |
LEV
1 - 4
WOL
62%
21%
17%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2020 |
MON
1 - 3
LEV
30%
23%
46%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2020 |
BRE
1 - 4
LEV
19%
21%
59%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |