Sampedrana vs San Esteban analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
46.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampedrana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ARC
2 - 1
SAM
80%
13%
8%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
SAM
1 - 1
ABE
34%
24%
42%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 0
SAM
40%
23%
37%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SAM
2 - 0
COV
43%
23%
34%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SAM
2 - 2
QUI
60%
20%
21%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
San Esteban
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
COV
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
NOR
1 - 0
EST
17%
20%
63%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
EST
5 - 1
CAS
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
TAR
1 - 1
EST
61%
20%
19%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
EST
3 - 0
QUI
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |