FA Cup . Previa 1
Global 2-1
Runcorn Town FC vs Hemsworth MW analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
9.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Runcorn Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
HEM
1 - 1
RUN
14%
16%
70%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
AIR
4 - 3
RUN
80%
13%
7%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
FRI
2 - 1
RUN
29%
22%
49%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
RUN
3 - 2
DAR
84%
10%
6%
|
27 | 8 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
RUN
2 - 1
DEN
19%
18%
63%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Hemsworth MW
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
HEM
1 - 1
RUN
14%
16%
70%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
RUN
2 - 0
HEM
80%
12%
8%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
HEM
1 - 1
OSS
28%
22%
50%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
MOS
4 - 0
HEM
75%
14%
11%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
HEM
2 - 1
RUN
12%
17%
71%
|
10 | 36 | 26 | +5 |