Rugenbergen vs Hamburger SV III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
56.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rugenbergen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
HAM
2 - 0
RUG
52%
21%
27%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
WAN
2 - 2
RUG
59%
19%
22%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
VHG
0 - 1
RUG
90%
7%
3%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 2
RUG
56%
20%
25%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
RUG
2 - 2
SUD
34%
22%
44%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hamburger SV III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
HAM
1 - 1
SAS
48%
21%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
HAM
7 - 1
SUD
72%
15%
13%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
HAM
1 - 3
DAS
13%
17%
70%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
OSD
1 - 3
HAM
50%
20%
30%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
HAM
3 - 3
CUR
70%
16%
14%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -2 |