Rugby Town vs Brackley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
43%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rugby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 1
RUG
51%
24%
26%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
STI
4 - 2
RUG
40%
25%
36%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 3
RUG
16%
20%
64%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
RUG
3 - 2
LIN
39%
26%
35%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
RUG
37%
22%
40%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Brackley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 1
RUG
51%
24%
26%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 0
BRA
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
TOO
1 - 3
BRA
30%
25%
46%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 1
HED
27%
25%
48%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 2
LOW
37%
27%
36%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |