Würges vs Vellmar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
BHE
4 - 1
WUR
29%
25%
46%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
WUR
2 - 1
ESC
55%
22%
23%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
WUR
3 - 3
FSV
44%
24%
32%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
FER
2 - 1
WUR
37%
26%
37%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2009 |
WUR
1 - 3
KIC
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
VEL
0 - 4
FER
40%
25%
36%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
KIC
2 - 1
VEL
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
URB
1 - 0
VEL
71%
17%
12%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2009 |
VEL
0 - 1
SWM
60%
20%
20%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
MAR
7 - 4
VEL
48%
25%
27%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |