Championship Round 32

Rotherham United vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis

Rotherham United Oldham Athletic AFC
68 ELO 54
-5.4% Tilt 3.9%
2392º General ELO ranking 3859º
63º Country ELO ranking 100º
ELO win probability
70.4%
Rotherham United
17%
Draw
12.5%
Oldham Athletic AFC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
Rotherham United
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
12.5%
Win probability
Oldham Athletic AFC
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Rotherham United
-8%
+2%
Oldham Athletic AFC

ELO progression

Rotherham United
Oldham Athletic AFC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rotherham United
Rotherham United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Feb. 1954
BCF
Bury
3 - 0
Rotherham United
ROT
53%
22%
25%
69 61 8 0
13 Feb. 1954
SWA
Swansea City
0 - 2
Rotherham United
ROT
56%
21%
23%
68 64 4 +1
06 Feb. 1954
ROT
Rotherham United
2 - 1
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
65%
20%
16%
68 64 4 0
23 Jan. 1954
LUT
Luton Town
1 - 1
Rotherham United
ROT
61%
20%
19%
68 73 5 0
16 Jan. 1954
ROT
Rotherham United
3 - 0
Nottingham Forest
NTT
48%
23%
29%
67 71 4 +1

Matches

Oldham Athletic AFC
Oldham Athletic AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Feb. 1954
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
2 - 2
Swansea City
SWA
54%
21%
25%
54 62 8 0
20 Feb. 1954
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
0 - 0
Derby County
DER
49%
22%
28%
54 70 16 0
13 Feb. 1954
BBU
Blackburn Rovers
4 - 0
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
74%
16%
11%
54 72 18 0
06 Feb. 1954
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
2 - 2
Doncaster Rovers
DON
53%
22%
25%
54 68 14 0
23 Jan. 1954
BCF
Bury
1 - 0
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
71%
17%
13%
55 60 5 -1