Rot-Weiss Essen vs Wattenscheid 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1978 |
ARB
2 - 2
ROT
45%
25%
31%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1978 |
ROT
1 - 2
WHE
78%
13%
9%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1978 |
SWE
3 - 3
ROT
27%
25%
47%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1978 |
ROT
3 - 1
HAN
70%
17%
13%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1978 |
PRE
2 - 0
ROT
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Wattenscheid 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1978 |
WAT
3 - 2
AHA
63%
21%
17%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1978 |
RWL
3 - 2
WAT
33%
25%
43%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1978 |
WAT
3 - 3
LEV
69%
19%
13%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1978 |
OSC
1 - 1
WAT
30%
25%
45%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1978 |
WAT
5 - 2
KÖL
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |