Rot-Weiss Essen vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
23.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1982 |
SVS
4 - 0
ROT
68%
18%
14%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1982 |
ROT
1 - 3
BVB
43%
23%
34%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1982 |
ROT
0 - 1
AAA
64%
21%
16%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1982 |
KFC
2 - 0
ROT
50%
24%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 1982 |
ROT
2 - 1
BVL
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1982 |
KÖL
2 - 2
SGF
68%
18%
14%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1982 |
KÖL
2 - 0
SCF
69%
17%
14%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1982 |
WAT
0 - 2
KÖL
40%
25%
35%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1982 |
KÖL
3 - 0
DAR
61%
21%
19%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1982 |
HAN
4 - 2
KÖL
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |