Rot-Weiss Essen vs B. Leverkusen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2005 |
WUP
0 - 0
ROT
33%
27%
41%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2005 |
ROT
2 - 2
COT
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
ROT
2 - 1
ROT
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2005 |
F95
2 - 4
ROT
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2005 |
ROT
1 - 2
LUB
42%
25%
33%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2005 |
BAY
0 - 0
WAT
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2005 |
OSN
1 - 1
BAY
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
BAY
0 - 1
HOL
33%
26%
40%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2005 |
CZJ
1 - 1
BAY
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2005 |
BAY
2 - 3
CHE
40%
27%
33%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |