Rot Weiss Ahlen vs Sportfreunde Lotte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
58.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot Weiss Ahlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
VIK
4 - 1
RWA
77%
15%
8%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
S04
2 - 1
RWA
52%
25%
24%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2016 |
BOR
2 - 1
RWA
69%
19%
13%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
RWA
1 - 2
VER
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
FOR
4 - 1
RWA
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Sportfreunde Lotte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
SPO
3 - 0
BOR
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 0
ROT
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 1
VIK
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
WIE
0 - 2
SPO
21%
25%
54%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
VER
2 - 3
SPO
18%
25%
58%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |