Rot Weiss Ahlen vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
52.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
16º
16º
41
5º
18º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 66 |
2º
|
74.5% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 64 |
3º
|
74.5% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 55 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 54 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 53 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 51 |
8º
|
42% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 49 |
9º
|
90% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 48 |
10º
|
72.5% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
72.5% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
22 | 22 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot Weiss Ahlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
RWA
2 - 0
STR
65%
18%
17%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
RWA
1 - 2
BOR
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
AAA
1 - 0
RWA
46%
25%
29%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
RWA
2 - 2
FCB
37%
24%
39%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
WIE
5 - 0
RWA
45%
25%
30%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
DIE
2 - 1
WUP
31%
24%
46%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PRE
4 - 2
DIE
67%
20%
14%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
DIE
3 - 1
FOR
68%
18%
14%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
DUR
3 - 2
DIE
36%
24%
41%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
NET
0 - 7
DIE
12%
18%
70%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |