Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs BSG Wismut Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
33.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1968 |
ERF
6 - 1
MAG
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1968 |
CHL
2 - 0
ERF
56%
24%
21%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1968 |
ERF
1 - 0
CHE
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1968 |
BFC
1 - 0
ERF
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1968 |
BSG
1 - 0
ERF
34%
23%
43%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1968 |
BSG
1 - 1
BWA
26%
21%
53%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1968 |
BWA
0 - 0
ZWI
50%
27%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1968 |
ROS
3 - 1
BWA
55%
24%
22%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1968 |
BWA
0 - 0
LOK
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1968 |
2 - 1
BWA
57%
23%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |