Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Auerbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
ALT
0 - 3
ERF
20%
24%
57%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
ERF
0 - 1
HAL
20%
21%
59%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
ERF
1 - 3
WUR
17%
25%
58%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
MEP
3 - 0
ERF
70%
19%
12%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ERF
0 - 3
WER
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
AUE
1 - 4
BFC
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
AUE
1 - 1
ERZ
8%
15%
77%
|
38 | 66 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
AUE
0 - 2
ZWI
16%
21%
63%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
AUE
0 - 2
ERZ
8%
16%
76%
|
38 | 66 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
VIK
4 - 2
AUE
33%
25%
42%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -2 |