Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1978 |
LOK
2 - 1
ERF
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1978 |
ERF
1 - 1
HAL
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
ZWI
2 - 0
ERF
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1978 |
ERF
0 - 0
BWA
55%
24%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1978 |
MAG
2 - 0
ERF
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1978 |
FCU
1 - 0
FVF
45%
28%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1978 |
FCU
1 - 3
LOK
27%
27%
46%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
HAL
1 - 2
FCU
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1978 |
FCU
1 - 0
ZWI
41%
28%
31%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
BWA
3 - 2
FCU
56%
25%
19%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |