Rot-Weiß Erfurt II vs Wismut Gera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
72.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiß Erfurt II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
6 - 1
ROT
54%
22%
24%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ROT
4 - 0
UNI
56%
21%
23%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +3 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
PLA
6 - 0
ROT
58%
21%
22%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -3 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
BAR
4 - 3
ROT
29%
22%
49%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ROT
0 - 0
BIS
17%
22%
61%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | +3 |
Matches
Wismut Gera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
WIS
4 - 0
EIN
86%
11%
3%
|
55 | 16 | 39 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
EIN
2 - 0
WIS
7%
15%
79%
|
56 | 25 | 31 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
WIS
2 - 2
BAR
85%
12%
4%
|
55 | 24 | 31 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
WIS
0 - 2
ILE
77%
16%
8%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 0
WIS
16%
21%
63%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | -1 |