Roskilde vs Aalborg BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
61.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roskilde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ROS
3 - 0
HVI
37%
26%
38%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
VFF
3 - 2
ROS
59%
23%
19%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
ROS
1 - 4
LYN
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
BFR
2 - 5
ROS
48%
23%
30%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
NAE
3 - 1
ROS
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Aalborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
HOB
0 - 5
AAB
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
AAB
1 - 1
VEJ
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
RAN
2 - 2
AAB
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
AAB
0 - 1
ESB
48%
27%
26%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2018 |
ACH
0 - 0
AAB
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |