UCL Qualifying Third Round Final
Global 2-4
Rosenborg BK vs Viktoria Plzeň analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosenborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 0
RBK
24%
24%
52%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
STB
2 - 1
RBK
39%
25%
37%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
RBK
5 - 0
BRE
73%
17%
11%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
RBK
2 - 0
STR
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
RBK
4 - 0
S08
72%
18%
10%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Viktoria Plzeň
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
VKP
1 - 1
MBO
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
VKP
5 - 1
PYU
74%
16%
10%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2011 |
PYU
0 - 4
VKP
32%
25%
43%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
SIG
2 - 1
VKP
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
VKP
3 - 1
BAN
64%
21%
16%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |